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GC21M-1096: Is Parameter Inference a Disappearing Practice? Comparing Photosynthesis Simulations Using Perturbed Parameter Ensembles and Machine Learning
  • +2
  • Elias Massoud,
  • Forrest M Hoffman,
  • Nathan Collier,
  • Anthony Walker,
  • Bharat Sharma
Elias Massoud

Corresponding Author:[email protected]

Author Profile
Forrest M Hoffman
Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Nathan Collier
Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Anthony Walker
American Geophysical Union AGU Annual Meeting, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory
Bharat Sharma
American Geophysical Union AGU Annual Meeting, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge National Laboratory

Abstract

The increase in computational power and richness of Earth system data has allowed new methods for simulating natural processes with higher precision and accuracy than previously imagined. Older methods to increase skill of computer model simulations include parameter inference, where the parameters of a forward simulation model are optimized to better represent reality and allow the model to capture dynamics seen in the observed data. However, these methods are limited by our physical understanding of the underlying system, making it impossible to capture certain dynamics when the model is under-represented. Machine learning methods have emerged as a potential tool to bypass the limitations of our physical understanding, and they can create simulations with much higher skill than previous methods. This work investigates and compares the skill of photosynthesis simulations from various model formulations including those with optimized parameters and those from machine learning.
08 Dec 2023Submitted to ESS Open Archive
10 Dec 2023Published in ESS Open Archive