References
Allan, R. P., & Soden, B. J. (2008). Atmospheric warming and the
amplification of precipitation extremes. Science, 321 (5895),
1481-1484.
Allen, M. R., & Ingram, W. J. (2002). Constraints on future changes in
climate and the hydrologic cycle. Nature, 419 (6903), 228-232.
Bao, J., & Sherwood, S. C. (2019). The Role of Convective
Self‐Aggregation in Extreme Instantaneous Versus Daily Precipitation.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 11 (1), 19-33.
Bony, S., Semie, A., Kramer, R., Soden, B., Tompkins, A., & Emanuel, K.
(2020). Observed modulation of the tropical radiation budget by deep
convective organization and lower‐tropospheric stability. AGU
Advances, 1 (3), e2019AV000155.
Bony, S., Stevens, B., Coppin, D., Becker, T., Reed, K. A., Voigt, A.,
& Medeiros, B. (2016). Thermodynamic control of anvil cloud amount.Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 113 (32),
8927-8932.
Bretherton, C. S., Blossey, P. N., & Khairoutdinov, M. (2005). An
energy-balance analysis of deep convective self-aggregation above
uniform SST. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 62 (12),
4273-4292.
Bretherton, C. S., Peters, M. E., & Back, L. E. (2004a). Relationships
between water vapor path and precipitation over the tropical oceans.Journal of Climate, 17 (7), 1517-1528.
Bretherton, C. S., Uttal, T., Fairall, C. W., Yuter, S. E., Weller, R.
A., Baumgardner, D., et al. (2004b). The EPIC 2001 stratocumulus study.Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85 (7), 967-978.
Brient, F., & Bony, S. (2012). How may low‐cloud radiative properties
simulated in the current climate influence low‐cloud feedbacks under
global warming? Geophysical Research Letters, 39 (20).
Byrne, M. P., & Schneider, T. (2016). Energetic constraints on the
width of the intertropical convergence zone. Journal of Climate,
29 (13), 4709-4721.
Coppin, D., & Bony, S. (2015). Physical mechanisms controlling the
initiation of convective self‐aggregation in a general circulation
model. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 7 (4),
2060-2078.
Dai, N., & Soden, B. J. (2020). Convective aggregation and the
amplification of tropical precipitation extremes. AGU Advances,
1 (4), e2020AV000201.
Emori, S., & Brown, S. (2005). Dynamic and thermodynamic changes in
mean and extreme precipitation under changed climate. Geophysical
Research Letters, 32 (17).
Fermepin, S., & Bony, S. (2014). Influence of low‐cloud radiative
effects on tropical circulation and precipitation. Journal of
Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 6 (3), 513-526.
Held, I. M., Hemler, R. S., & Ramaswamy, V. (1993).
Radiative-convective equilibrium with explicit two-dimensional moist
convection. Journal of Atmospheric Sciences, 50 (23), 3909-3927.
Holloway, C. E., Wing, A. A., Bony, S., Muller, C., Masunaga, H.,
L’Ecuyer, T. S., et al. (2017). Observing convective aggregation.Surveys in Geophysics, 38 (6), 1199-1236.
Hwang, Y.-T., & Frierson, D. M. (2013). Link between the
double-Intertropical Convergence Zone problem and cloud biases over the
Southern Ocean. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
110 (13), 4935-4940.
Klein, S. A., & Hartmann, D. L. (1993). The seasonal cycle of low
stratiform clouds. Journal of Climate, 6 (8), 1587-1606.
Knutson, T. R., Sirutis, J. J., Vecchi, G. A., Garner, S., Zhao, M.,
Kim, H.-S., et al. (2013). Dynamical downscaling projections of 21st
century Atlantic hurricane activity: CMIP3 and CMIP5 model-based
scenario. J. Climate, 26 , 6591-6617.
Li, Y., Thompson, D. W., & Bony, S. (2015). The influence of
atmospheric cloud radiative effects on the large-scale atmospheric
circulation. Journal of Climate, 28 (18), 7263-7278.
Lilly, D. K. (1968). Models of cloud‐topped mixed layers under a strong
inversion. Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society,
94 (401), 292-309.
Liu, M., Yang, L., Smith, J., & Vecchi, G. (2020). Response of extreme
rainfall for landfalling tropical cyclones undergoing extratropical
transition to projected climate change: Hurricane Irene (2011).Earth’s Future, 8 (3), e2019EF001360.
Mauritsen, T., & Stevens, B. (2015). Missing iris effect as a possible
cause of muted hydrological change and high climate sensitivity in
models. Nature Geoscience, 8 (5), 346.
Medeiros, B., Clement, A. C., Benedict, J. J., & Zhang, B. (2021).
Investigating the impact of cloud-radiative feedbacks on tropical
precipitation extremes. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science,
4 (1), 1-10.
Muller, C. (2013). Impact of convective organization on the response of
tropical precipitation extremes to warming. Journal of Climate,
26 (14), 5028-5043.
Muller, C., & Bony, S. (2015). What favors convective aggregation and
why? Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (13), 5626-5634.
Muller, C. J., & Held, I. M. (2012). Detailed investigation of the
self-aggregation of convection in cloud-resolving simulations.Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences, 69 (8), 2551-2565.
Neelin, J. D., & Held, I. M. (1987). Modeling tropical convergence
based on the moist static energy budget. Monthly Weather Review,
115 (1), 3-12.
Norris, J., Chen, G., & Neelin, J. D. (2019). Thermodynamic versus
dynamic controls on extreme precipitation in a warming climate from the
Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble. Journal of Climate,
32 (4), 1025-1045.
O’Gorman, P. A., & Schneider, T. (2009). The physical basis for
increases in precipitation extremes in simulations of 21st-century
climate change. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences,
106 (35), 14773-14777.
O’Gorman, P. A. (2015). Precipitation extremes under climate change.Current Climate Change Reports, 1 (2), 49-59.
Pall, P., Allen, M., & Stone, D. A. (2007). Testing the
Clausius–Clapeyron constraint on changes in extreme precipitation under
CO 2 warming. Climate Dynamics, 28 (4), 351-363.
Pendergrass, A. G., Lehner, F., Sanderson, B. M., & Xu, Y. (2015). Does
extreme precipitation intensity depend on the emissions scenario?Geophysical Research Letters, 42 (20), 8767-8774.
Pendergrass, A. G., Reed, K. A., & Medeiros, B. (2016). The link
between extreme precipitation and convective organization in a warming
climate: Global radiative‐convective equilibrium simulations.Geophysical Research Letters, 43 (21), 11,445-411,452.
Pfahl, S., O’Gorman, P. A., & Fischer, E. M. (2017). Understanding the
regional pattern of projected future changes in extreme precipitation.Nature Climate Change, 7 (6), 423-427.
Popp, M., & Bony, S. (2019). Stronger zonal convective clustering
associated with a wider tropical rain belt. Nature communications,
10 (1), 1-12.
Popp, M., Lutsko, N. J., & Bony, S. (2020a). The relationship between
convective clustering and mean tropical climate in aquaplanet
simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems,
12 (8), e2020MS002070.
Popp, M., Lutsko, N. J., & Bony, S. (2020b). Weaker links between zonal
convective clustering and ITCZ width in climate models than in
observations. Geophysical Research Letters, 47 (22),
e2020GL090479.
Raymond, D. J. (2000). Thermodynamic control of tropical rainfall.Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society, 126 (564),
889-898.
Rayner, N., Parker, D. E., Horton, E., Folland, C. K., Alexander, L. V.,
Rowell, D., et al. (2003). Global analyses of sea surface temperature,
sea ice, and night marine air temperature since the late nineteenth
century. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 108 (D14).
Stein, T. H., Holloway, C. E., Tobin, I., & Bony, S. (2017). Observed
relationships between cloud vertical structure and convective
aggregation over tropical ocean. Journal of Climate, 30 (6),
2187-2207.
Stevens, B., Bony, S., & Webb, M. (2012). Clouds on-off klimate
intercomparison experiment (COOKIE).
Su, H., Wu, L., Zhai, C., Jiang, J. H., Neelin, J. D., & Yung, Y. L.
(2020). Observed tightening of tropical ascent in recent decades and
linkage to regional precipitation changes. Geophysical Research
Letters, 47 (3), e2019GL085809.
Su, H., Zhai, C., Jiang, J. H., Wu, L., Neelin, J. D., & Yung, Y. L.
(2019). A dichotomy between model responses of tropical ascent and
descent to surface warming. npj Climate and Atmospheric Science,
2 (1), 1-8.
Sugiyama, M., Shiogama, H., & Emori, S. (2010). Precipitation extreme
changes exceeding moisture content increases in MIROC and IPCC climate
models. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 107 (2),
571-575.
Taylor, K. E., Stouffer, R. J., & Meehl, G. A. (2012). An overview of
CMIP5 and the experiment design. Bulletin of the American
Meteorological Society, 93 (4), 485-498.
Tobin, I., Bony, S., Holloway, C. E., Grandpeix, J. Y., Seze, G.,
Coppin, D., et al. (2013). Does convective aggregation need to be
represented in cumulus parameterizations? Journal of Advances in
Modeling Earth Systems, 5 (4), 692-703.
Tobin, I., Bony, S., & Roca, R. (2012). Observational evidence for
relationships between the degree of aggregation of deep convection,
water vapor, surface fluxes, and radiation. Journal of Climate,
25 (20), 6885-6904.
Tompkins, A. M. (2001). Organization of tropical convection in low
vertical wind shears: The role of cold pools. Journal of the
Atmospheric Sciences, 58 (13), 1650-1672.
Tompkins, A. M., & Semie, A. G. (2017). Organization of tropical
convection in low vertical wind shears: Role of updraft entrainment.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 9 (2), 1046-1068.
Trenberth, K. E. (1999). Conceptual framework for changes of extremes of
the hydrological cycle with climate change. In Weather and climate
extremes (pp. 327-339): Springer.
Vecchi, G. A., & Soden, B. J. (2007). Global warming and the weakening
of the tropical circulation. Journal of Climate, 20 (17),
4316-4340.
Westra, S., Alexander, L. V., & Zwiers, F. W. (2013). Global increasing
trends in annual maximum daily precipitation. Journal of Climate,
26 (11), 3904-3918.
Wing, A. A., & Cronin, T. W. (2016). Self‐aggregation of convection in
long channel geometry. Quarterly Journal of the Royal
Meteorological Society, 142 (694), 1-15.
Wing, A. A., Emanuel, K., Holloway, C. E., & Muller, C. (2017).
Convective self-aggregation in numerical simulations: A review. InShallow Clouds, Water Vapor, Circulation, and Climate Sensitivity(pp. 1-25): Springer.
Wing, A. A., & Emanuel, K. A. (2014). Physical mechanisms controlling
self‐aggregation of convection in idealized numerical modeling
simulations. Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems, 6 (1),
59-74.
Wing, A. A., Stauffer, C. L., Becker, T., Reed, K. A., Ahn, M. S.,
Arnold, N. P., et al. (2020). Clouds and Convective Self‐Aggregation in
a Multi‐Model Ensemble of Radiative‐Convective Equilibrium Simulations.Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems , e2020MS002138.
Wood, R. (2012). Stratocumulus clouds. Monthly Weather Review,
140 (8), 2373-2423.
Wood, R., & Bretherton, C. S. (2006). On the relationship between
stratiform low cloud cover and lower-tropospheric stability.Journal of Climate, 19 (24), 6425-6432.
Yang, D. (2018). Boundary Layer Diabatic Processes, the Virtual Effect,
and Convective Self‐Aggregation. Journal of Advances in Modeling
Earth Systems, 10 (9), 2163-2176.
Zhang, B., Soden, B. J., Vecchi, G. A., & Yang, W. (2021). The role of
radiative interactions in tropical cyclone development under realistic
boundary conditions. Journal of Climate, 34 (6), 2079-2091.
Zhao, M., Held, I. M., Lin, S.-J., & Vecchi, G. A. (2009). Simulations
of global hurricane climatology, interannual variability, and response
to global warming using a 50-km resolution GCM. Journal of
Climate, 22 (24), 6653-6678.