Introduction to Ecological Forecasting (Intro to Forecasting)
This module introduces students to the ecological forecasting cycle, which includes the following steps: create a hypothesis, build a model, quantify model uncertainty, generate a forecast, communicate the forecast, assess the forecast, and update the model as new data become available (Dietze et al. 2018). Students complete each step in the cycle as they generate water quality forecasts for various NEON lake sites. See http://module5.macrosystemseddie.org for a detailed description of the module; module code and instructor materials are also published with DOIs in Moore et al. (2022a) and Moore et al. (2022b), respectively.